SHORT HORIZON. “The consensus among supporters on when machine consciousness will be achieved is between 10 and 20 years. While that is a long time, it should be remembered that this is shorter than the age of the mobile communications industry and, certainly at 10 years, is close enough for this technology to have an effect on the valuations of companies, including Google.”
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2635011/Google-create-CONSCIOUS-computer-expert-claims.html